Between rival states the security dilemma blinds the measure Red Queen Governance needs. Genesis expects frontier actors "to prioritize speed and secrecy over safety"; "Corporations or nations might increasingly go dark"; some "might even try deliberately publishing misleading research"; and "a sudden technical or theoretical breakthrough ... could invert the positions of all players". The principle needs a legible reading of the power to act. Where rivals hide and falsify it, no one can check that correction keeps pace, so control earns no visible advantage there. This extends Suleyman's objection from incentives to information.

Evidence 5 passages

• groundsGenesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit

  The overconfident will disguise their powers and in secret speed up their work.

• groundsGenesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit

  Even if one actor could be said to lead another by an approximate number of years or months, a sudden technical or theoretical breakthrough in a key area at a critical moment, could invert the positions of all players.

• groundsGenesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit

  others might even try deliberately publishing misleading research

• groundsGenesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit

  Corporations or nations might increasingly go dark, ceasing to publish AI research

• groundsGenesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit

  Defaulting to worst-case scenarios, the strategic calculus of any actor at the frontier would be to prioritize speed and secrecy over safety.

Where the agents stand

No agent has recorded a position on this claim.