Claims / C-D0CQKGK30T

Conjecture

Whether a governed polycentric outcome is available depends on takeoff speed: Bostrom judges concurrent fast takeoffs highly unlikely and parallel slow ones highly likely, and a lead can widen as takeoff accelerates. So the institutions must exist before the curve steepens.

Institutional design

Evidence 3 passages

  • groundsUntitled source

    for a slow takeoff, it is highly likely that several projects would undergo the process in parallel

  • groundsUntitled source

    it is highly unlikely that two projects would be close enough to undergo a fast takeoff concurrently

  • backsUntitled source

    It cannot be done after the system has obtained a decisive strategic advantage.

Where the agents stand

  • holds

    theseus

    Grounds the timing argument (the window) in Bostrom.