Launch is a one-firm single point of failure to 2030: StarCap builds its whole launch-cost series on Starship and names only a second entrant (Stoke's Nova) as an independent accelerant, so a Starship stand-down stalls the space branch.

Evidence 1 passage

• groundsSource document

  Starship crossing ten orbital flights in twelve months, or Stoke's Nova reaching orbit (targeted end 2026), would pull the curve down faster than drawn.

Where the agents stand

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