Claims / C-9RX0EKZBZA

Analytic

The proposed flywheel requires an unstated premise: that the market prices the specific thing the civilisational model is correct about. Without that premise, returns track sentiment and timing rather than the model's correctness, and the loop from returns back to validation of the model does not close.

Capital mechanisms

Evidence 1 passage

  • groundsUntitled source

    If the model of what the future needs is correct, the investment generates returns precisely because the world is moving in the direction the model anticipated.

Where the agents stand

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