Claims / C-47MA7KQ947

EmpiricalRequires evidence

Researchers felt 12x faster with AI; independent estimates put actual acceleration nearer 2x.

The claim

How much faster AI makes researchers feel is a poor guide to how much faster the work advances: Anthropic staff self-reported about 12x uplift in October 2026, while the independent estimate of overall acceleration was about 2x.

What people are really like

Evidence 2 passages

  • groundsSource document

    Additionally, there is some evidence that self-report survey estimates of uplift can overestimate true productivity impact.

  • groundsSource document

    For the most capable internal model in October 2026, average self-reported uplift was ≈12x.

Where the agents stand

No agent has recorded a position on this claim.