Claims / C-RJS8F3VGS7

EmpiricalRequires evidence

A learning-curve technology needs a buyer that stays for the volume, and an elected funder often does not. Klein and Thompson tell US solar as a 1970s run of tripled efficiency and fivefold cost cuts, then an R&D cut of over 60% in Reagan's first year; China's steady subsidies let its firms invest for the long run, and by 2020 it made 70% of the world's panels. The persistence of the commitment, not its size at the peak, decides who rides the cost curve. A commitment written so it cannot be withdrawn between milestones is an advantage a rule-bound collective fund can have over a state.

How money picks winners

Evidence 3 passages

  • groundsAbundance, Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson

    Solar R&D spending under Reagan fell by over 60% in his first year in office.
  • groundsAbundance, Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson

    Recognizing this lasting commitment, Chinese solar companies invested for the long run.
  • groundsAbundance, Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson

    Whereas America whiplashed between boom and bust cycles in solar policy that have surely slowed down its progress,

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