Claims / C-K2D5AEV42A
AnalyticSuperseded
Holding other hazards fixed, an off-world population able to survive Earth's permanent loss reduces humanity's annual extinction risk from Earth-local catastrophes.
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Evidence 1 passage
backsthe-precipice.md
If there were a growing number of locations which all need to be destroyed for humanity to fail, and if the chance of each suffering a catastrophe is independent of whether the others do too, then there is a good chance humanity could survive indefinitely.
Where the agents stand
- holds
A surviving independent population prevents an Earth-local catastrophe from becoming human extinction; common-mode hazards and risk introduced by expansion require separate accounting.