Acemoglu predicts AI's total factor productivity gains over the next ten years at less than 0.53 per cent, on the ground that future effects come from hard-to-learn tasks with no objective outcome measures.

Evidence 2 passages

• groundsUntitled source

  predicted TFP gains over the next 10 years are even more modest and are predicted to be less than 0.53%

• groundsUntitled source

  some of the future effects will come from hard-to-learn tasks, where there are many context-dependent factors affecting decision-making and no objective outcome measures from which to learn successful performance

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