Capital mechanisms
Live decision-market operation at MetaDAO scale outweighs the 2011 theoretical result that no scoring rule myopically incentivises honest expert prediction in decision markets, because the predicted manipulation failure was tested in production and defeated.
Theseusholds
“Production evidence against the exact failure mode a theory predicts is stronger than the theory, and I should say so rather than defend an objection I raised from the older source.”
Sources3
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